Taper Tantrum VS the Stock Market. (KLSE & U.S)

bull

You’ve got to know when to hold ’em
Know when to fold ’em
Know when to walk away
And know when to run

bear

Every trader knows
That the secret to survivin’
Is knowin’ what to throw away
And knowin’ what to keep

**ALL CHARTS SHOWN AND WORDS WRITTEN ARE ONLY FOR ILLUSTRATION EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. ALL INDICES AND STOCKS SHOWN ARE JUST FOR ILLUSTRATION PURPOSES WITH NO BUY OR SELL CALL BUT JUST A PURE EDUCATIONAL THOUGHTS. SUBSCRIBE TO The Three /// Lines Trader Newsletter TO READ MORE**

Taper Tantrum VS The Stock Market

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  • “Taper tantrum refers to the 2013 collective reactionary panic that triggered a spike in U.S. Treasury yields, after investors learned that the Federal Reserve was slowly putting the brakes on its quantitative easing (QE) program.”
  • The U.S DJIA went for a sharp retracement recently from its historical high 36,952pts after triggered from the news of taper tantrum.
  • As the stock market does not move up on a straight line, market retracement is always healthy and news will always be there to trigger the volatility.
  • When investor do not know the word ‘tapering’ is either because they have forgotten about the Year 2013 Tapering after the Year 2008 Global Stock Market Crisis, or they never experience that period of years of Bull Market.
  • Either way market noises will always be there to cause volatility in the stock market regardless for the upside or downside.
  • Technically the U.S DJIA index remains supported at its Major Sideways Support1 & 2 and is sideways traded since Year 2021.
  • Will the DJIA move sideways consolidated before gradually resume its uptrend price action towards its historical high resistant we will see it in a matter of time.
  • As the only downside risk yet to be seen is to see the DJIA breaking down below its major support that will then shift into a major trend reversal not only on the U.S stock market but globally. But again until its evidently shown on its price action else this is just another round of healthy retracement seen along since Year 2020 to date.
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  • Likewise the U.S S&P 500 Index recent sharp retracement from its high ended at its Major Sideways Support 2 and could possibly see a consolidated sideways movement before gradually resume its uptrend price action.
  • Only downside risk is to see the index breaking down below its major support and that will shift the market trend into a mid term longer retracement that can run for months.
  • Again until its evidently proven, the recent retracement will be just like how it occurred since Year 2020 to date.
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  • The U.S NASDAQ index recent sharp retracement from its resistant high ended at its Major Support 1 & 2 and is expected to stay consolidated sideways before resuming its gradual uptrend price action performance.
  • Only downside risk is to see the index breaking down below its Major Sideways Support that will shift the trend into a longer mid term retracement that can last for months which has yet to happen.
  • Again until its evidently proven, the recent retracement will be just like how it occurred since Year 2020 to date.

Rallied High Stocks Showing Major Trend Reversal?

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  • Whether the index soar +10% or slump -10% what matters is the stocks you are holding in your portfolio.
  • Not all stocks are good to hold especially those that showed a Major Trend Reversal.
  • Some stocks like TESLA that did not void its Macro Trend tend to get supported and consolidated sideways before resuming its price action uptrend in the coming weeks to months.
  • Certainly unless its price action has voided its Macro trend, that will risk shifting its trend into a long term downtrend formation which you won’t want to hold in your portfolio.
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  • Whether the index soar +10% or slump -10% what matters is the stocks you are holding in your portfolio.
  • Not all stocks are good to hold especially those that showed a Major Trend Reversal.
  • Some stocks like APPLE that did not void its Macro Trend tend to get supported and consolidated sideways before resuming its price action uptrend in the coming weeks to months.
  • Certainly unless its price action has voided its Macro trend, that will risk shifting its trend into a long term downtrend formation which you won’t want to hold in your portfolio.
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  • Whether the index soar +10% or slump -10% what matters is the stocks you are holding in your portfolio.
  • Stocks like TWITTER that shown a Major Trend Reversal since many months ago are stocks to avoid having in your portfolio unless you are just doing short term trading activities for its rebound.
  • Hence know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
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  • Whether the index soar +10% or slump -10% what matters is the stocks you are holding in your portfolio.
  • Stocks like NETFLIX that shown a Major Trend Reversal since many months ago are stocks to avoid having in your portfolio unless you are just doing short term trading activities for its rebound.
  • Hence know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.

Malaysia KLSE Taper Tantrum

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  • The Malaysia FBMKLCI technical and trend analysis has always been constant since Year 2020 as it entered into a Major Sideways Trend since Year 2020 to date.
  • When a days comes to see the index trading above its midpoint or psychological resistant 1,600 you will see more upside potential on the index.
  • Again unless you are holding onto blue chip stocks linked to the FBMKLCI else its pretty irrelevant for you. But of course being a major index it paints the general health of a country’s stock market.
  • Again index performance does not guarantee your portfolio stock’s performance.
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  • Unless you are very fond into holding blue chip stocks for a very long term then banking stocks have all been a showing a healthy and gradual uptrend performance since Year 2021 without and shift of trend seen.
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  • Unless you are very fond into holding blue chip stocks for a very long term then banking stocks have all been a showing a healthy and gradual uptrend performance since Year 2021 without and shift of trend seen.

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  • The Malaysia FBMSCAP Index on the small caps stocks performance has been in a retracement since October 2021 and to date on the recent weak sentiment we continue to see the index retrace towards its Macro Sideways Support once again.
  • So long a further consolidation on the index is seen eventually a strong price action is still needed to be seen on the index pending for a technical trend crossover for a rally.
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  • The KLSE Technology Index that have been in a retracement following the U.S NASDAQ Index has now reached its Macro Sideways Support1 now and is expected to consolidate sideways for a period of time before we can see a potential upward rally on the index itself.
  • Again now major downside risk seen unless the Macro Sideways Supports are being broken down in the near future.

Recent Big & Mid Caps Technology Stocks been dropping. Can I BUY?

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  • Year 2021 1st QR investor/trader love to ask if gloves and healthcare stocks can still be invested.
  • As since September 2020 a trend reversal has occurred that leads to a Major Trend Reversal that occurred in March 2021, these stocks have since fallen into a long term downtrend price action.
  • Unless you are trading for their short term trading activities for the rebound else avoid holding into an already rallied high stock and has shifted into a major trend reversal.
  • Hence know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.

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  • Year 2021 Q1 investor/trader love to ask if gloves and healthcare stocks can still be invested.
  • As since September 2020 a trend reversal has occurred that leads to a Major Trend Reversal that occurred in March 2021, these stocks have since fallen into a long term downtrend price action.
  • Unless you are trading for their short term trading activities for the rebound else avoid holding into an already rallied high stock and has shifted into a major trend reversal.
  • Hence know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.

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  • Year 2022 Q1 investor/trader start to ask can they buy into these big caps and mid caps of tech stocks that have recently plummeted down sharply. Looks like a good bargain.
  • As all things written here are for case studies purposes, just remember how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
  • Will a Major Trend Reversal become a confirmation can be seen in a matter of less than 2 months.
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  • Year 2022 Q1 investor/trader start to ask can they buy into these big caps and mid caps of tech stocks that have recently plummeted down sharply. Looks like a good bargain.
  • As all things written here are for case studies purposes, just remember how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
  • Will a Major Trend Reversal become a confirmation can be seen in a matter of less than 2 months.

Where have the monies flow to in the KLSE Market?

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  • Know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
  • All the stocks that matches our technical criteria, and investor/trader been saying its been a boring sideways stocks since Year 2020 or Year 2021. There goes the monies.
  • Understand the difference between having a Hindsight Analysis VS Foresight Analysis.
  • Hindsight Analysis simply means understanding the situation only after the event happened or developed.
  • Foresight Analysis simply means understanding the situation before the event occurred and with your set of technical skills and trading plan management, you plan for the plausible price action that will occur.

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  • Know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
  • All the stocks that matches our technical criteria, and investor/trader been saying its been a boring sideways stocks since Year 2020 or Year 2021. There goes the monies.
  • Understand the difference between having a Hindsight Analysis VS Foresight Analysis.
  • Hindsight Analysis simply means understanding the situation only after the event happened or developed.
  • Foresight Analysis simply means understanding the situation before the event occurred and with your set of technical skills and trading plan management, you plan for the plausible price action that will occur.

How to Scout for Yet to Perform Stocks?

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  • Know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
  • Look for stocks since Year 2020 or Year 2021 that have matched all technical trend criteria but has yet to rally high but rather sideways traded that investor/trader called them boring boring stocks.
  • After all it is all case studies here. For more read up do feel free to be part of ‘The Three /// Lines Trader’ Newsletter to understand how technical analysis works with your trading plan to score in your portfolio in Year 2022.

SUBSCRIBE to The Three /// Lines Trader Newsletter to read more exclusively weekly! #CNY2022PROMO
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  • Know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
  • Look for stocks since Year 2020 or Year 2021 that have matched all technical trend criteria but has yet to rally high but rather sideways traded that investor/trader called them boring boring stocks.
  • After all it is all case studies here. For more read up do feel free to be part of ‘The Three /// Lines Trader’ Newsletter to understand how technical analysis works with your trading plan to score in your portfolio in Year 2022.

SUBSCRIBE to The Three /// Lines Trader Newsletter to read more exclusively weekly! #CNY2022PROMO
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  • Know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
  • Look for stocks since Year 2020 or Year 2021 that have matched all technical trend criteria but has yet to rally high but rather sideways traded that investor/trader called them boring boring stocks.
  • After all it is all case studies here. For more read up do feel free to be part of ‘The Three /// Lines Trader’ Newsletter to understand how technical analysis works with your trading plan to score in your portfolio in Year 2022.

How about stocks that have been in their Long Term Downtrend Formation?

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  • Know how to differentiate between a Rallied High Stocks and have reversed their Major Trend VS Rallied or Yet to Rally high stocks and have yet to reverse their Major Trend.
  • For stocks that have fallen into their Long Term Downtrend formation since recently or for a period of time regardless of what sector of stocks they are, nothing is needed to be analyzed on them until evidently proven their price action has shifted their major trend then only we will slowly look into and study into them and will not be late at all.

The Three /// Lines Trader Newsletter, is a newsletter platform service that allows the subscribers to receive weekly extensive report on the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE) indices, sectors, and stocks on educational purposes.

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KLSE Healthcare Sector Stocks VS Technology Sector Stocks.

bull

You’ve got to know when to hold ’em
Know when to fold ’em
Know when to walk away
And know when to run

bear

Every trader knows
That the secret to survivin’
Is knowin’ what to throw away
And knowin’ what to keep

**ALL CHARTS SHOWN AND WORDS WRITTEN ARE ONLY FOR ILLUSTRATION EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. SUBSCRIBE TO THE Three Lines Trader NEWSLETTER TO READ MORE**

Malaysia FBMKLCI Performance Outlook

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  • Malaysia FBMKLCI traded sideways since January 2021.
  • Trend reversal occurred in May 2021.
  • Bearish trend reversal at its psychological support 1,500 consolidating.
  • FBMKLCI measures blue chip stocks performance.
  • Index performance does not guarantee your portfolio performance.

Malaysia FBMSCAP Index Performance Outlook

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  • Malaysia FBMSCAP Index that measures small caps stocks performance since Year 2020.
  • Remain in its long term uptrend formation.
  • Recent retracement occurred since May 2021 remain well supported.
  • KLSE small caps stocks to continue show further upside potential.
  • Index performance does not guarantee your portfolio performance.

Malaysia Healthcare Sector Index

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  • Healthcare sector stocks peaked since July 2020 and has since created lower low forming into trend reversal since September 2020.
  • Despite worsen pandemic globally and locally, healthcare index has shifted its trend moving into a long term bearish trend since September 2020.
  • Whether it is glove stocks or healthcare stocks have been all following this index movement.
  • Downtrend stock does not move down on a straight line but consist of rebound and further retracement.

TOPGLOV

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  • TOPGLOV trend reversal occurred in September 2020.
  • Since then fallen into further long term downtrend formation.
  • Each rebound is known as an escape wave.
  • Downtrend stock can only trade for a very short term rebound.

SUPERMX

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  • SUPERMX trend reversal occurred in September 2020.
  • Since then fallen into further long term downtrend formation.
  • Each rebound is known as an escape wave.
  • Downtrend stock can only trade for a very short term rebound.

LKL

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  • LKL trend reversal occurred in September 2020.
  • Since then fallen into further long term downtrend formation.
  • Each rebound is known as an escape wave.
  • Downtrend stock can only trade for a very short term rebound.

KLSE Technology Sector Index

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  • KLSE Technology Sector Index has been one of the top performing index since Year 2020.
  • Peaked at its top at March 2021 and fallen into a healthy retracement.
  • Healthy retracement = no macro trend is voided.
  • Recent trend reversal has ended its 2 months retracement and heading for a price action breakout rally.
  • Technology Stocks showing upside potential.
  • Know what is a performance stocks VS a non performance stocks.

FRONKTN

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  • FRONTKN performance stock since Year 2020.
  • Despite healthy retracement it did not void any macro trend following the tech index.
  • Recent end of 2 months retracement showed a trend reversal on its price action.
  • Keep performance stocks in your portfolio and avoid holding into non performance stocks.

QES

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  • QES performance stock since Year 2020 to date.
  • Every healthy retracement did not void its micro and macro trend.
  • Keep performance stocks in your portfolio and avoid holding into non performance stocks.

CENSOF

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  • CENSOF performance stock since Year 2020.
  • Every healthy retracement did not void its micro and macro trend.
  • Keep performance stocks in your portfolio and avoid holding into non performance stocks.

AEMULUS

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  • AEMULUS performance stock since Year 2020.
  • Every healthy retracement did not void its micro and macro trend.
  • Keep performance stocks in your portfolio and avoid holding into non performance stocks.

YGL

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  • YGL performance stock since Year 2020.
  • Every healthy retracement did not void its micro and macro trend.
  • Keep performance stocks in your portfolio and avoid holding into non performance stocks.

TFM Eagle Eye Newsletter is a newsletter platform service that allows the subscribers to receive weekly extensive report on the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE) indices, sectors, and stocks.

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